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Callum Twomey's 2016 Phantom Draft
Here is AFL.com.au's Phantom Draft – a prediction of how the first 30 picks might unfold. It includes the impact of possible bids on academy prospects, meaning the order of draft picks will change.
Clubs can't recall a NAB AFL Draft quite like this, with so much uncertainty around the top of the order so close to the event.
Essendon's choice with its No.1 pick will have a huge ripple effect on what follows, with so much to be determined by the Bombers' selection.
Here is AFL.com.au's Phantom Draft – a prediction of how the first 30 picks might unfold. It includes the impact of possible bids on academy prospects, meaning the order of draft picks will change.
We have also produced a club-by-club rundown of how the remainder of the draft could roll out on Friday night after pick 30.
ANDREW McGRATH DOB: 2/6/98; Height: 179cm; Weight: 75kg Sandringham Dragons
McGrath presents as a player who will be able to go straight away. He's quick, powerful and competitive, and has the defensive mindset to step into an AFL side from the first moment. His leadership gives him an edge over some other contenders at the top of the draft, and he has shown great versatility across the season. McGrath can change the way a game is played with his rapid rebounding out of defence plus his tough, physical approach through the midfield. The Bombers can bring him in and expect him to immediately have an impact at AFL level. They lack his sort of verve from defence and in time he would bring another element to their midfield.
If not him? Hugh McCluggage met with the Bombers (including CEO Xavier Campbell) earlier this week and remains a big chance, while they could also bid on GWS academy player Will Setterfield. It's an extremely tight call for the Dons – if they go McCluggage everything changes thereafter.
Andrew McGrath's impressive game against Vic Country saw the football world sit up and take notice
TIM TARANTO 28/1/98, 187cm, 82kg Sandringham Dragons
If Taranto wasn't already considered an early pick then his finals series confirmed it. The dominant Sandringham Dragons midfielder starred in September, kicking four goals in the preliminary final and then backing it up with 30 touches in his side's Grand Final win. At 187cm he has the height and size to have a presence at the stoppages, and his overhead marking gives him a point of difference to others around him. That difference may place him in the picture for the Giants, who can afford to go for a specific type of player at the start of the draft given their surplus of young talent.
If not him? Ben Ainsworth has been long linked to the Giants' No.2 choice and they have identified the need for a small forward. If McGrath gets past the Bombers the Giants will take him, while they also recently interviewed McCluggage again.
Tim Taranto has shot into top-10 calculations. Picture: AFL Photos
HUGH McCLUGGAGE 3/3/98, 185cm, 75kg North Ballarat Rebels
The Morrish medallist couldn't have had a more impressive season. McCluggage played well nearly every time he took the field in 2016, and he averaged 28 disposals, six clearances and two goals in 12 games for the Rebels this season. He's clean, composed and has so much time with the ball that helps him evade trouble and set things up. McCluggage has plenty of growth and development left in his game, which makes him one of the most appealing players in the land. The Lions don't have any young midfielders like McCluggage so he would be a fine choice at this selection should he get through. He's happy to move anywhere to follow his footy.
If not him? The Lions may face the call between McCluggage and small forward Ben Ainsworth. Ainsworth has told the Lions he wants to be drafted to the club, making retention a non-issue for him.
Hugh McCluggage is a No.1 pick contender following a brilliant year. Picture: AFL Photos
BEN AINSWORTH 10/2/98, 179cm, 75kg Gippsland Power
Ainsworth put aside some interruptions in the first half of the year to confirm himself as a likely early choice with his end to the season. The bouncy, energetic and aggressive small forward moved into the midfield and excelled there using his smarts, creativity and clean hands. When stationed close to goal, where he'll start his AFL career, his overhead marking and leap makes him constantly dangerous in the air and when the ball hits the ground. Ainsworth established himself as one of the best players in this year's draft class as a bottom-ager in 2015 and is ready for his chance. He carries genuine excitement and energy and would step into the Suns' forward line.
If not him? They'll wait and see what happens at the top and hope Hugh McCluggage gets through, which is a very slim chance. Tim Taranto could be available, while Sam Petrevski-Seton and Jack Scrimshaw may also be in the Suns' mix here.
Ben Ainsworth has genuine star factor. Picture: AFL Photos
WILL SETTERFIELD (matching Carlton's bid) 5/2/98, 190cm, 80kg Sandringham Dragons
Injuries at different stages over the past couple of years have limited Setterfield's output, but when firing he has shown his best might be as good as anyone in the draft. Tall, mobile, tough and skillful, Setterfield ticks most of the key boxes as a modern midfielder who can impact a game. He was hitting his straps in the TAC Cup finals – including a game where he had 10 clearances and 16 tackles – before a shoulder injury ruled him out of the Grand Final. Setterfield, who is originally from Albury before shifting to Melbourne to board at Caulfield Grammar, has spent time with the Giants as a member of their academy.
If not him? As long as Essendon doesn't bid on Setterfield at pick No.1, then the Giants' second pick (No.15) will be used to slide up the order and match a bid for the tall midfielder. The Giants would prefer it came later than Carlton's pick, but would still match here.
Will Setterfield has rocketed into top-three contention. Picture: AFL Photos
SAM PETREVSKI-SETON 19/2/98, 181cm, 76kg Claremont
It was an injury-interrupted season for Petrevski-Seton but the West Australian midfielder remains one of the classiest, smoothest players in the pool. He can kick on both feet, make things happen, and see things unfolding that few others can. He can produce the unexpected moments on a regular basis. Petrevski-Seton played for Claremont's senior WAFL side as a 16-year-old and has matched it with senior players, and his tenacious tackling and defensive pressure is a hallmark of his game. Carlton is looking for a midfielder and the West Australian complements the youngsters already at the club.
If not him? Tim Taranto, if still on the board, will take a fair bit of consideration. They could also look at picking Will Brodie here as another midfielder, while there's a chance Ben Ainsworth gets through. The Blues were linked to Will Hayward too, but that seems a touch early.
Sam Petrevski-Seton is tipped to be one of the top picks. Picture: AFL Photos
JACK SCRIMSHAW 4/9/98, 194cm, 80kg Sandringham Dragons
The smooth-moving left-footer showed his quality late in the year as a key member of the Dragons' TAC Cup premiership side. He was stationed mostly across half-back where he used his kicking to spot up targets and control the play. At 194cm, Scrimshaw presents as a really modern player and prototype who can be used across the field. In time he sees himself playing in the midfield and using his quick sidestep and clever evasiveness through traffic. Gold Coast has done plenty of work on the Victorian prospect and he is in the group of prospects they're considering for this prized choice. His class out of half-back is probably something they could add to their list.
If not him? They could grab Will Brodie here, who they have been considering, or maybe Griffin Logue or Sam Petrevski-Seton.
Jack Scrimshaw is a composed half-back with a strong left foot. Picture: AFL Photos
WILL BRODIE 23/8/98, 189cm, 82kg Murray Bushrangers
Brodie did his best work for the season in the first half of the year. That shouldn't be forgotten, particularly his back-to-back best afield games against VFL teams in April and then his form at the under-18 championships. The tall midfielder is a clearance winner but he does have a burst of pace to get out of a stoppage and into space. He backs up his effort and is a determined, hard-edged prospect. Brodie has been seen as a possible 'slider' but the Dockers could add him to their midfield knowing he can play almost right away.
If not him? They've done plenty of homework on Jack Scrimshaw, but are also big fans of Jy Simpkin. The exciting small forward could be in the mix. WA trio Sam Petrevski-Seton, Griffin Logue and Tim English are also all in the mix, or could they bid on Jack Bowes? Clubs think there are plenty of games being played around this spot.
Will Brodie is a confident tough nut with plenty to offer. Picture: AFL Photos
GRIFFIN LOGUE 13/4/98, 194cm, 92kg Swan Districts
Logue's end to the season shot him into top-10 calculations and he has several suitors with early picks. The Suns are one of those. Logue is a key defender with great athleticism (he broke 10 minutes for the 3km time trial and was a joint winner of the beep test at last month's NAB AFL Draft Combine), but it is his intercept play that makes him an appealing pick. Logue can cut off forward forays with his marking and then send the ball out of his defensive half with ease. He is ready to play and will feature at senior level next year.
If not him? Tim English is a red-hot chance to give the Suns a long-term ruckman, while Jy Simpkin will also come into contention if Gold Coast looks at adding some more pace to its list. Will Brodie may also get through.
Griffin Logue ran himself into the ground at the combine. Picture: AFL Photos
JACK BOWES (matching Sydney's bid) 26/1/98, 187cm, 78kg Gold Coast academy
The Suns will secure the first high-end talent from their academy in Bowes, a smart, polished and popular midfielder. Bowes captained Queensland at the division two under-18 championships and was named the carnival's best player, and he makes things look easy on a regular basis. He will need to add some weight to his frame but he is a nice and neat kick, good overhead, and can also push forward to kick a goal. Fremantle and the Swans are the most likely to bid on him.
If not him? The Suns will grab Bowes with one of their picks, but if they have to use pick No.8 on him, that will leave 10 open. Tim English, Jy Simpkin, and Griffin Logue could be in here in that case. Or they could pull a surprise and take Will Hayward.
Midfielder Jack Bowes is a Gold Coast academy player. Picture: AFL Photos
JY SIMPKIN 5/3/98, 181cm, 71kg Murray Bushrangers
A broken leg earlier this year stopped Simpkin from showing the recruiting world the player he can be, but it hasn't really dented his draft stocks too much. The creative and speedy half-forward makes a difference with the ball in his hand: he can set things up, shimmy around an opponent or two, and get play going. After some complications with his injury recovery mid-year, he is back running and is continuing to build his training program. He would add some spark to whichever club he joins, with the Swans long linked as a possible home.
If not him? Swans coach John Longmire met with Oliver Florent this week and he's in the mix. They'd likely snap up Will Brodie if he got through, while defender Griffin Logue has also been regularly raised a possible recruit since they pushed up the order.
A broken leg cut short Jy Simpkin's season. Picture: AFL Photos
HARRY PERRYMAN (matching North Melbourne's bid) 19/12/98, 184cm, 75kg Collingullie-GP
There weren't too many roles Perryman didn't play at some stage this year, with the versatile GWS academy prospect lining up all over the ground. That included in the midfield and at half-forward, but he seems best placed as an attacking half-back who can set up the play with his quality kicking skills. Perryman is tough and courageous, and does things pretty coolly under pressure. As a member of the Giants' academy zone they have first rights on matching a bid for him on Friday night.
If not him? It should be relatively straightforward for the Giants to match a bid at this point of the draft for Perryman if it comes from North. GWS made sure to trade for extra picks (and therefore draft points) during the exchange period so they could pay for him and Will Setterfield.
Harry Perryman is a quality player who just moves like a natural footballer. Picture: AFL Photos
OLIVER FLORENT 22/7/98, 183cm, 75kg Sandringham Dragons
It was Florent's finish to the season that thrust him a little higher up the draft order. The skilful and quick midfielder was excellent in the Dragons' finals series, and then was best afield in the NAB All Stars game on Grand Final eve. His ability to weave in and out of congestion, link up the play with handballs, and then finish efficiently by foot sets him apart from other midfielders in the first-round group. North need more of his type of player, and Florent is keen to stay in Victoria with his family after the passing of his father this year. The Roos chatted to him again in recent days and he would seem a good fit.
If not him? Will Brodie is a slight chance to still be on the board and he'd have to be favourite to join them if so. Jarrod Berry might be considered here for the Roos, as could Jy Simpkin.
Oliver Florent breaks free of a Shai Bolton tackle. Picture: AFL Photos
JARROD BERRY 5/2/98, 191cm, 80kg North Ballarat Rebels
Berry's season had its complications – a few niggling injuries that came at different stages of the year – but his testing at the Combine reminded everyone of his great athleticism and competitiveness. Berry first staked his claim as a possible early pick last year as a bottom-ager when he was named an All Australian. This year he played across there, in the midfield and even had some time in attack, and he hits every contest with ferocity and aggression. The Eagles have shown interest in Berry across the season and he would fit in as a really strong character driven to get the most out of himself.
If not him? Do they go for local tall Tim English and shore up their ruck stocks for the next long while? They'll think very hard about that. Will Hayward, Jordan Gallucci are others linked to this spot.
Berry averaged 12 disposals in three matches for Vic Country. Picture: AFL Photos
JORDAN GALLUCCI 3/5/98, 183cm, 75kg Eastern Ranges
Gallucci's special athletic traits were on show at the Combine, when he broke the all-time standing vertical jump record and blitzed the field in the repeat sprints test. His ability to break out of a stoppage and zip away is rare, and he can kick long goals on the run. Gallucci may start across half-forward but he can also be placed as an attacking half-back with his run and drive. The former volleyballer is a professional and determined teenager who has been preparing for his shot for a while.
If not him? The Crows would look very closely at Jarrod Berry if he got through, as well as Will Hayward. Speedy half-back Cedric Cox has been linked with them while Oli Florent, should he still be available, could be considered. They have been linked to placing a bid on GWS academy player Isaac Cumming at this spot.
Jordan Gallucci brings some zip to the draft class. Picture: AFL Photos
WILL HAYWARD 26/10/98, 186cm, 76kg North Adelaide
A nine-goal haul in the SANFL under-18 finals series boosted Hayward's draft stocks in a big way. He backed it up with four goals in his side's Grand Final loss the following week, but had shown his power, athleticism and bounce in a half-forward role. He can slot goals from long distance, take big marks and has plenty of upside left in him too. The Power will wait at their selection to see what gets through, and Hayward, who is attending the draft in Sydney, might be the one.
If not him? They really like Alex Witherden and it would be a tough and tight call to overlook him here and hope he got through to their next pick. Jordan Gallucci is another in that mix.
Will Hayward had a brilliant end to the season to boost his draft chances. Picture: AFL Photos
ALEX WITHERDEN 10/9/98, 188cm, 79kg Geelong Falcons
Witherden is one of the best kicks in the draft – a player who can draw his teammates to a place on the ground by kicking to space. He was due to move from half-back into the midfield this year before breaking his leg in May, which halted those plans. But he's recovered well and is almost ready to get back into full training now. Witherden's poise is his standout quality and is something that may appeal to the Lions to bring into their club and let set up the play from the back half.
If not him? The Brisbane Lions are wedged in between the Power's picks, so it might depend who Port grabs and in what order. But Jarrod Berry is a chance here, as is Jordan Gallucci.
Alex Witherden is a composed half-back draft prospect. Picture: AFL Photos
It was an inconsistent season for Marshall but he remains probably the best key forward available in the draft. The 198cm prospect is agile at ground level and an excellent kick for goal and around the ground, but he will need a little bit of time to build up his body before being ready for senior level. Marshall started the season in Greater Western Sydney's zone but was ruled ineligible and is now on the open market – something that could entertain Port if they're keen to build their tall forward stocks.
If not him? Would Port think Tim English is too good to pass up if he gets through to this stage? Jordan Gallucci may also slip past the Lions and be a shot, as may Jarrod Berry and Alex Witherden. Josh Battle may be another key forward worth some thought.
Todd Marshall shapes as one of the best key forwards in the draft. Picture: AFL Photos